Monday, March 26, 2007

Best Actress 2008

Just a random note: I am getting VERY worried about the outcome of the 2008 best actress oscar race. Why, you ask? That's silly, you say? Well, yes. Obviously. But I worry because I'm afraid one of these women might have to LOSE... AGAIN:

Streep
Winslet
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Winslet
Streep
Winslet
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Winslet
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Winslet
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Winslet
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Winslet
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Winslet

The good news: My girls Meryl Streep and Kate Winslet both have projects coming up that look like they could win them oscars (Kate's first, Meryl's third... both are equally overdue at this point).

The bad news: It's looking highly likely that both could come out in the same year.

Revolutionary Road, if it actually happens, really looks like THE ONE that could get Winslet noticed. She's already done everything else she can. Biopic? Check. Biggest film of all time? Check. Stuffy period piece? Check. Playing against type? Check. Shameless nudity? Check, and check. She's done everything short of starring in a Holocaust film (like the one in her "Extras" stint), and still she's had no luck. But this new one's really a kicker: reunite with Leo DiCaprio AND be directed by your husband (it's two-in-one) in an uber-oscary film. This one might just do it. If it doesn't, then... well, maybe Kate should just give up the ghost.

Meanwhile, Goddess Meryl has like 10 films in the pipeline, at least two of which look like they could be THE ONE for her... or THE ONES perhaps (two more oscars soon? maybe). Of course, with that many films to get through, who knows how long it'll take her to get to Doubt and Dirty Tricks? But Dirty Tricks is listed as a 2008 release, and Doubt may well land in that year, too.

Revolutionary Road is actually listed as 2009, but that can't be true if they're really filming it this summer. Post-production does NOT take 2 years. My hope is that either:

A) Revolutionary Road pulls a Million Dollar Baby and somehow finds release this December (unlikely), or...

B) Revolutionary Road is released in 2008, and Meryl wins her third oscar in 2009, for either Dirty Tricks or Doubt.

We'll see. But I worry. Ideally, it'd go like this:

2007: Julianne Moore (Savage Grace)
2008: Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road)
2009: Meryl Streep (Dirty Tricks or Doubt)

...but that'd just be too good to be true... right?

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7 Comments:

Blogger Kamikaze Camel said...

1. Meryl could easily win a Supporting Actress Oscar in any of these years

2. Katherine Hepburn won two Oscars in a row in her 60s and then another in her 80s (all three were actually consecutive which I didn't realise. She had no nominations between '69's The Lion in Winter and '82s On Golden Pond)

3. Kate's only 31. I'm fairly certain she'll win one at some point in her life. In fact, if history has shown us anything it's that you finally win an oscar by not showing up. After lots of noms people like Michael Caine and Ellen Burstyn didn't show up on the nights they finally won)

3:39 AM  
Blogger adam k. said...

1. I think people want to give her a leading oscar. She COULD win in supporting, yes, but I just think she's perceived as a leading lady who should win a second leading oscar. I think that's part of why she didn't win for Adaptation; people thought, "well if we give her a third now, it'll take forever to give her a fourth, and it's really more important she win in lead." Whatever, it's not like people actually sat around and thought that, I just think there's this notion in the collective subconscious that she should have another leading oscar.

Also, it's harder to see from afar which smaller roles might be award-worthy, which is why I'm focusing on Doubt and Dirty Tricks.

2. Yes, this is true, which is why I think Streep herself could win twice in a row soon (for Doubt and Dirty Tricks, if they come out in different years). Doesn't change the fact that Streep and Winslet may face off ; )

3. I'm sure Kate will win eventually, but it'll take the right role and the right PR hook. Otherwise, people will continue to say "eh, she'll get one eventually, let's give it ***** this year." You need the right role and the right hook, and Road looks to have both. Plus, she's approaching the mid-30s age when most actresses achieve greatest fame and worship and win oscars... so it's most likely to happen these next few years. If it doesn't, then who knows when it will?

Unfortunately no one knows at the time of the voting whether someone will be showing up or not. Unless you're having knee surgery or something, like Judi Dench ; ) Or hosting a benefit, like Meryl did during this year's SAGs (and that didn't help her win anything). Hmm, I guess a lot of people actually announce that they're not showing up. But I don't think that really helps them win. I don't believe Kathryn Hepburn EVER showed up at the oscars.

3:22 AM  
Blogger adam k. said...

Hmm, actually maybe you have a point about this. Hepburn never ever showed up, so maybe they figured she thought she would never win, and they wanted to surprise her. Or maybe they realized she thought she was too good for them, and they agreed, and starting throwing awards at her. Or maybe she just never attended cause she would rather be at home wearing pants than in a gown.

It does seem that when people just give up and stop caring, that's when they finally win. Maybe if O'Toole had stayed at home, he would've won this year?

Anyway, why am I still typing? I am clearly insane. Goodnight.

3:31 AM  
Blogger Kamikaze Camel said...

Well, the On Golden Pond win for her and Henry Fonda were clearly "you're old and obviously gonna die soon so here's a statue". I think Hepburn deserved that Oscar for "THE LOONS!" and "THE LOONS!" only. God, I could quote "The loons, Norman. THE LOONS!" over and over.

I love the anecdote that Jane Fonda has where the day after the 1982 Oscars she rang up Katherine Hepburn to congratulate her and what did Katherine say in return?

"YOU'LL NEVER CATCH ME NOW!" and hung up! Isn't that a crackup?!

Of course, if Jane really is getting serious about acting again, she could easily win two more Oscars and tie with Hepburn.

I'd love to see Fonda win more awards. I, to be honest, think I like her more than Meryl. eep. She is Jane Fonda afterall.

10:30 AM  
Blogger adam k. said...

Katherine Hepburn is hilarious.

But I'm not that big a fan of the Fonda. I should see Klute and Coming Home.

11:50 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Do you really think Julianne Moore has a shot at even a nomination this year? I mean, I'd love for it to happen, but I just finished reading Savage Grace and the role and storyline just seem too bizarre for Academy tastes. Plus, it's directed by Tom Kalin, who's decidedly not conservative or mainstream in his filmmaking ways (if the excellent Swoon is any indication).

Nevertheless, I'm pumped to finally see it, and I expect (hope?) Juli will be great again. I just don't think Oscar will go for it.

10:36 AM  
Blogger adam k. said...

I think Julianne, and Julianne alone, has a shot. I want to say Eddie Redmayne and the screenplay have a chance, but the movie will most likely be too dark.

Julianne has a shot because she's famous and overdue and people are watching to see when she's award-worthy again. After all, Theron got nommed for Monster and won, and that movie was ridiculously dark and disturbing and far from oscar's preferred "type." But of course, nothing else from it was nommed, not even the makeup. So I think it's Julianne if anything, and nothing else.

5:18 AM  

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