Wednesday, December 05, 2007

GOLDEN GLOBE nomination predix

BEST PICTURE - DRAMA
1. Atonement *lock*
2. No Country for Old Men *lock*
3. Michael Clayton *likely*
4. Into the Wild *questionable*
5. There Will Be Blood *questionable*
alt. American Gangster

& A Mighty Heart

BEST ACTRESS - DRAMA
1. Julie Christie (Away from Her) *lock*
2. Angelina Jolie (A Mighty Heart) *near-lock*
3. Keira Knightley (Atonement) *near-lock*
4. Jodie Foster (The Brave One) *questionable*
5. Ashley Judd (Bug) *wild card*
alt. Cate Blanchett (Elizabeth: The Golden Age)
& Halle Berry (Things We Lost in the Fire)

BEST ACTOR - DRAMA
1. Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) *lock*
2. George Clooney (Michael Clayton) *near-lock*
3. James McAvoy (Atonement) *near-lock*
4. Viggo Mortensen (Eastern Promises) *questionable*
5. Brad Pitt (Jesse James) *wild card*
alt. Denzel Washington (American Gangster) *questionable*
& Emile Hirsch (Into the Wild)

BEST PICTURE - COMEDY/MUSICAL
1. Hairspray *lock*
2. Sweeney Todd *lock*
3. Enchanted *likely*
4. Juno *likely*
5. Once *questionable*
6. Knocked Up *questionable*
alt. The Savages
& Charlie Wilson's War

BEST ACTRESS - COMEDY/MUSICAL
1. Marion Cotillard (La Vie En Rose) *lock*
2. Amy Adams (Enchanted) *lock*
3. Ellen Page (Juno) *near-lock*
4. Helena Bonham-Carter (Sweeney Todd) *likely*
5. Laura Linney (The Savages) *likely*
6. Nicole Kidman (Margot at the Wedding) *questionable*
alt. Nikki Blonsky (Hairspray)
& Keri Russell (Waitress)

BEST ACTOR - COMEDY/MUSICAL
1. Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd) *lock*
2. Ryan Gosling (Lars and the Real Girl) *near-lock*
3. Tom Hanks (Charlie Wilson's War) *likely*
4. Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Savages) *likely*
5. Johnny Depp (Pirates: At World's End) *questionable*
alt. Don Cheadle (Talk to Me)
& Glen Hansard (Once)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There) *lock*
2. Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone) *near-lock*
3. Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton) *likely*
4. Saoirse Ronan (Atonement) *likely*
5. Jennifer Jason Leigh (Margot at the Wedding) *questionable*
alt. Kelly MacDonald (No Country for Old Men)
& Jennifer Garner (Juno)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men) *lock*
2. Tom Wilkinson (Michael Clayton) *lock*
3. Casey Affleck (Jesse James) *likely*
4. John Travolta (Hairspray) *questionable*
5. Sacha Baron Cohen (Sweeney Todd) *wild card*
alt. Philip Seymour Hoffman (Charlie Wilson's War)
& Paul Dano (There Will Be Blood)

BEST DIRECTOR
1. The Coen Bros (No Country for Old Men) *lock*
2. Joe Wright (Atonement) *lock*
3. Tim Burton (Sweeney Todd) *likely*
4. Paul Thomas Anderson (There Will Be Blood) *likely*
5. Sean Penn (Into the Wild)
alt. Ridley Scott (American Gangster)
*questionable*
& Sidney Lumet (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead)

BEST SCREENPLAY
1. No Country for Old Men *lock*
2. Atonement *near-lock*
3. Michael Clayton *likely*
4. Juno *likely*
5. There Will Be Blood *questionable*
alt. The Savages
& I'm Not There

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1. Atonement *lock*
2. There Will Be Blood *likely*
3. Beowulf *likely*
4. Lust, Caution *questionable*
5. The Kite Runner *questionable*
alt. The Golden Compass
& Enchanted

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
1. Once ("Falling Slowly") *likely*
2. Hairspray ("Come So Far") *likely*
3. Into the Wild ("Guaranteed") *likely*
4. Enchanted ("That's How You Know") *likely*
5. Love in the Time of Cholera (whichever) *questionable*
alt. Beowulf ("A Hero Comes Home")
& The Golden Compass ("Lyra")

BEST FOREIGN FILM
1. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly *lock*
2. 4 Months, 3 Weeks & 2 Days *lock*
3. The Kite Runner *near-lock*
4. Persepolis *near-lock*
5. Lust, Caution *likely*
alt. Silent Light (Mexico)
& La Vie En Rose (France)

BEST ANIMATED FILM
1. Ratatouille *lock*
2. Beowulf *near-lock*
3. The Simpsons Movie *near-lock*
(Persepolis doesn't qualify, so I'm thinking this is the list)

What do people think of these? I guess it's a bit premature, but I felt like doing it. I suppose the most controversial thing about these predictions is my complete snub of American Gangster, but I don't think it's really so unlikely (plus, I have it as an alternate in several categories). I also included Brad Pitt over far more oscary candidates, cause I figure they may want him and Angie as a two-pack. Other "no guts no glory" choices include Ashley Judd for actress and A Mighty Heart for best pic. Yes, these are REAL predictions. I really think all these things will happen.

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6 Comments:

Blogger Kamikaze Camel said...

Seems like a decent rundown. Am I the only one who finds Best Director really boring? I hope it gets a bit of spice through the season. I guess I'll just be disappointed if they nominate people like Lumet and Penn when there are so many more left-of-centre (read: arty and foreign) directors to choose from and those two are so very very safe.

12:11 AM  
Blogger adam k. said...

Yeah I was thinking the same thing about best director, actually. Beyond the Coens, Wright and Burton, I was like "ummmm... yeah I don't care" since I doubt we'll get people like Haynes and Anderson. But I those first three at least should make it a fun lineup.

I'm really excited to see how all the comedy categories pan out. For once, they're actually more competitive than drama... especially actress.

12:25 AM  
Blogger adam k. said...

Actually one thing I think would be AWESOME (though I know you won't agree) is if John Carney got a director nod for Once (at the globes). And I actually could almost see it happening if they love it. The safer money's on Burton, though, clearly.

And I DO think Baron Cohen will be nommed.

12:27 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you agree "Into the wild" put Emile Hirsch an Golden Globe contender for BEst Actor in a DFrama Category, now with the NBR prize and Gotham Nomination

4:10 PM  
Blogger RC said...

i think the golden globes just might be a lot of fun this year...especially since there's some real competition in the comedy/musical categories.

i think keri russel will make it in.

1:04 AM  
Blogger adam k. said...

I also kind of think she'll make it in. I just wouldn't know who to drop. There are no logical choices. I had to predict 6 nominees as it is.

And I really hope Cotillard doesn't just win the musical globe in a walk... since she's the one who doesn't belong in that category and, hence, has an advantage. Without her, it'd be fairly competitive between Adams, Page, Bonham-Carter, and maybe even Linney. Maybe it still will be. We'll have to see.

But this is certainly better than most years when it's a bunch of light comedic fluff and then one "serious" or musical role that's the obvious frontrunner.

1:40 AM  

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