Who will win it?
posted by adam k. @ 4:26 AM
Crumb by Crumb
Check in to get your fix of film reviews, awards news, viewing marathons, hot men, and what's going on with me. While I'm not pursuing other more worthy goals, I'll be here... devouring life, art, and pop culture, one crumb at a time.
"Crumb by crumb
In this big black forest...
You I'll belieeeeeeve..."
-Rufus Wainwright
About Me
- Name: adam k.
- Location: Miami, FL, United States
I am a currently an MFA student in University of Miami's film school, recently graduated from Brown. I'm an aspiring singer, actor, writer, and/or filmmaker... basically, I'll take what I can get. My first true love is performing, but the film critic in me just won't shut up, and I love writing and directing things, too. I think I wear too many hats (literally and figuratively). This blog is an outlet for my many wild passions, and a way to kill all my spare time. Also, I like to keep my sidebar REALLY full, so if you wanna see archives, just keep on scrolling down ; )
- Battlestar Galactica
- The Amazing Adventures of Kavalier & Clay
(by Michael Chabon) - Revolutionary Road
(by Richard Yates) - His Dark Materials:
The Golden Compass
(by Philip Pullman) - Once soundtrack
- Release the Stars
(by Rufus Wainwright) - The Carpenters
- Jennifer Holliday
- The Reading Room
(my 2-minute film) - The Merchant of Venice
(as Gratiano) - Common Decency
(ensemble/chorus) - Dead White Males
(as Martin Judd) - Eternity Placement Opportunity (as Bill)
- Two Daughters
(as Dr. Trueblood) - Double Blind
(as Jack Pierson) - Sleeping with Friends
(as Jake) - Men at Work: a study
(as Hank) - Proof (by David Auburn)
- What Was She Thinking? [Notes on a Scandal]
by Zoe Heller - Zen in the Art of Archery
by Eugen Herrigel - Voyage to the Moon (1902)
- The Birth of a Nation (1915)
- The Cabinet of Dr. Caligari (1919)
- Male and Female (1919)
- Within Our Gates (1920)
- The Blot (1921)
- The Sheik (1921)
- Nanook of the North (1922)
- Greed (1924)
- The Last Laugh (1924)
- Battleship Potemkin (1925)
- The Big Parade (1925)
- The Gold Rush (1925)
- The General (1926)
- It (1927)
- The Jazz Singer (1927)
- Metropolis (1927)
- Un Chien Andalou (1929)
- Man with a Movie Camera (1929)
- Betty Boop and Popeye shorts (1930s)
- Morocco (1930)
- A Propos de Nice (1930)
- City Lights (1931)
- M (1931)
- Land without Bread (1932)
- Red Dust (1932)
- Scarface (1932)
- Trouble in Paradise (1932)
- 42nd Street (1933)
- I Was Born, But… (1933)
- It Happened One Night (1934)
- The 39 Steps (1935)
- Composition in Blue (1935)
- Top Hat (1935)
- Triumph of the Will (1935)
- The Awful Truth (1937)
- Grand Illusion (1937)
- Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (1937)
- Gone with the Wind (1939)
- The Rules of the Game (1939)
- Stagecoach (1939)
- The Philadelphia Story (1940)
- Citizen Kane (1941)
- Dance Girl Dance (1941)
- The Maltese Falcon (1941)
- Casablanca (1942)
- The Magnificent Ambersons (1942)
- Double Indemnity (1944)
- Maria Candelaria (1944)
- Meet Me in St. Louis (1944)
- Meshes of the Afternoon (1944)
- Detour (1945)
- Open City (1945)
- The Best Years of Our Lives (1946)
- The Big Sleep (1946)
- The Bicycle Thief (1948)
- Letter from an Unknown Woman (1948)
- D. O. A. (1949)
- Late Spring (1949)
- In a Lonely Place (1950)
- Los Olvidados (1950)
- Sunset Boulevard (1950)
- Awaara (1951)
- The Hitchhiker (1951)
- Ikiru (1952)
- Singin’ in the Rain (1952)
- Gentlemen Prefer Blondes (1953)
- Ugetsu (1953)
- La Strada (1954)
- On the Waterfront (1954)
- Salt of the Earth (1954)
- Seven Samurai (1954)
- Voyage to Italy (1954)
- Night and Fog (1955)
- Rebel without a Cause (1955)
- The Searchers (1956)
- Mon Oncle (1957)
- What’s Opera, Doc? (1957)
- Vertigo (1958)
- Touch of Evil (1958)
- The 400 Blows (1959)
- Anatomy of a Murder (1959)
- Black Orpheus (1959)
- Hiroshima, mon Amour (1959)
- Imitation of Life (1959)
- Pickpocket (1959)
- The World of Apu (1959)
- The Apartment (1960)
- L’Avventura (1960)
- Breathless (1960)
- Peeping Tom (1960)
- Primary (1960)
- Chronicle of a Summer (1961)
- Cleo from Five to Seven (1961)
- Last Year at Marienbad (1961)
- The Exterminating Angel (1962)
- Lawrence of Arabia (1962)
- The Manchurian Candidate (1962)
- To Kill a Mockingbird (1962)
- Window Water Baby Moving (1962)
- 8 ½ (1963)
- Contempt (1963)
- La Jetée (1963)
- Dr. Strangelove (1963)
- This Sporting Life (1963)
- Black God, White Devil (1964)
- The Battle of Algiers (1965)
- Shop on Main Street (1965)
- The Good, the Bad and the Ugly (1966)
- Persona (1966)
- Bonnie and Clyde (1967)
- Don’t Look Back (1967)
- The Graduate (1967)
- Wavelength (1967)
- 2001: A Space Odyssey (1968)
- Faces (1968)
- High School (1968)
- The Hour of Furnaces (1968)
- Memories of Underdevelopment (1968)
- Rosemary’s Baby (1968)
- Le Boucher (1969)
- Easy Rider (1969)
- Salesman (1969)
- The Wild Bunch (1969)
- Five Easy Pieces (1970)
- M*A*S*H (1970)
- Land of Silence and Darkness (1971)
- Shaft (1971)
- The Sorrow and the Pity (1971)
- Aguirre, Wrath of God (1972)
- The Godfather (1972)
- Badlands (1973)
- State of Siege (1973)
- Ali, Fear Eats the Soul (1974)
- Chinatown (1974)
- The Conversation (1974)
- Dog Day Afternoon (1975)
- Xala (1975)
- Harlan County, USA (1976)
- Taxi Driver (1976)
- Annie Hall (1977)
- All That Jazz (1979)
- Apocalypse Now (1979)
- Asparagus (1979)
- El Norte (1983)
- Sans Soleil (1983)
- Yellow Earth (1984)
- Kiss of the Spider Woman (1985)
- The Mothers of the Plaza de Mayo (1985)
- The Offical Story (1985)
- Blue Velvet (1986)
- The Sacrifice (1986)
- She’s Gotta Have It (1986)
- Sherman’s March (1986)
- Street of Crocodiles (1986)
- Wings of Desire (1987)
- Distant Voices, Still Lives (1988)
- The Thin Blue Line (1988)
- Who Framed Roger Rabbit? (1988)
- Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown (1988)
- Do the Right Thing (1989)
- Roger & Me (1989)
- Close-Up (1990)
- To Sleep with Anger (1990)
- Raise the Red Lantern (1991)
- Thelma & Louise (1991)
- Daughters of the Dust (1992)
- Hyenas (1992)
- Like Water for Chocolate (1992)
- The Player (1992)
- Tale of Winter (1992)
- Unforgiven (1992)
- Menace II Society (1993)
- The Piano (1993)
- Wallace and Gromit in the Wrong Trousers (1993)
- Red (1994)
- Strawberries and Chocolate (1994)
- Breaking the Waves (1996)
- Lone Star (1996)
- The Sweet Hereafter (1997)
- A Taste of Cherry (1997)
- Central Station (1998)
- Earth (1998)
- All About My Mother (1999)
- Devil in a Blue Dress (1999)
- Kikujiro (1999)
- Amores Perros (2000)
- In the Mood for Love (2000)
- City of God (2002)
- Hero (2002)
- Crazy Heart B-
- The Young Victoria B-/C+?
- The Messenger B
- A Serious Man B/B+?
- The Hurt Locker A/A- (2)
- Nine B/B+?
- The Maid B
- The Blind Side C
- The Road B-
- A Single Man B/B+
- Avatar A- (2)
- Antichrist C+
- Brothers C+
- Up in the Air A?
- Precious A-
- Fantastic Mr. Fox B+
- An Education B
- Where the Wild Things Are B
- Good Hair B
- Paranormal Activity C+
- The Informant! B-
- The Hangover D (ugh)
- Zombieland B
- Whip It B+
- Inglorious Basterds B+
- The New Twenty B
- Bright Star A-
- District 9 B
- Wolverine C
- Ponyo B
- (500) Days of Summer B+
- Julie & Julia B
- Away We Go B-
- Little Ashes D+
- Julia B+ (Tilda: A) (2)
- Drag Me to Hell B+
- Up B+
- Star Trek B+ (3)
- Sunshine Cleaning B-
- Coraline B+
- Wendy & Lucy B+
- The Class A-
- Doubt B
- Frost/Nixon B
- Milk A-
- The Wrestler B+
- Revolutionary Road B-
- The Reader B-
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button B
- Slumdog Millionaire B-
- Australia B
- Rachel Getting Married A-
- W. C+
- Speed Racer C
- Iron Man B
- The Dark Knight B
- Vicky Christina Barcelona B
- The Edge of Heaven B-
- Man on Wire B-
- Savage Grace B
- Mamma Mia! C+
- Sex and the City B
- WALL•E A- (2)
- The Edge of Love B+
- Smart People B-
netflix catch-up list
(stuff I missed in theaters)- La Vie En Rose (2007)
- A Mighty Heart (2007)
- Zodiac (2007)
- Breach (2007)
- Black Snake Moan (2007)
- The Lookout (2007)
- Paris, je t'aime (2007)
- Duck Season (2006)
- Running with Scissors (2006)
- Notes on a Scandal (2006)
- Bobby (2006)
- The Descent (2006)
- The Black Dahlia (2006)
- The Death of Mr. Lazarescu (2006)
- Fur: An Imaginary Portrait of Diane Arbus (2006)
- Cars (2006)
- Flushed Away (2006)
- Over the Hedge (2006)
- Akeelah and the Bee (2006)
- Inside Man (2006)
- The Notorious Bettie Page (2006)
- Thank You for Smoking (2006)
- Flags of Our Fathers (2006)
- Letters from Iwo Jima (2006)
- Old Joy (2006)
- Renaissance (2006)
- Fast Food Nation (2006)
- Le Petit Lieutenant (2006)
- The Aura (2006)
- Family Law (2006)
- Caché (2005)
- The New World (2005)
- Brothers (2005)
- Kings and Queen (2005)
- Adam & Steve (2005)
- Wallace & Gromit in the Curse of the Were Rabbit (2005)
- Spring, Summer, Fall, Winter... and Spring (2004)
If you've never seen these, you've never really lived:
- Moulin Rouge! (2001)
these are required viewing:
- Carrie (1976) 4+
- Out of Africa (1985)
- M*A*S*H (1970) 2
- Sunset Boulevard (1950) 2
- The Iron Giant (1999) 2
- The Purple Rose of Cairo (1985) 2
- Taxi Driver (1976)
- Tootsie (1982) 10+
you really should see these:
- Children of Men 2
- Do the Right Thing (1989)
- Marie Antoinette
- McCabe & Mrs. Miller (1971)
- No Country for Old Men (2007) ???
- Once (2007) 3
- Ratatouille (2007)
- Shortbus
- The Fountain 2
- The Host (2007) 1.8*
- Victor/Victoria (1982) 2
- Volver 2
*see here for detailshighly recommended:
- A Prairie Home Companion 2
- An Inconvenient Truth
- Atonement (2007)
- Away From Her (2007)
- Bug (2007)
- Death Becomes Her (1992) 2
- Dirty Pretty Things (2003)
- Half Nelson 2
- I'm Not There (2007)
- Killer of Sheep (2007)
- Little Miss Sunshine 4+
- Me and You and Everyone We Know (2005)
- Michael Clayton (2007)
- Pan's Labyrinth 2
- Superman Returns
- The Devil Wears Prada 4+
- The Lives of Others
- The Painted Veil
- United 93
moderately recommended:
- A Cry in the Dark (1988) 2
- Batman Returns (1992)
- Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan 2
- Casino Royale
- Grindhouse (2007)
- Juno (2007)
- Hairspray (2007)
- Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (2007)
- Inland Empire
- Little Children
- Monster House
- The Bridges of Madison County
- The Departed
- The Illusionist
- The Prestige
- The Last King of Scotland 3
- The Queen
- Summer Storm (2004?)
- Wordplay
- Year of the Dog (2007)
tepidly recommended:
- Babel
- Before the Devil Knows You're Dead (2007)
- Beowulf (2007)
- Breaking and Entering
- Control (2007)
- Enchanted (2007)
- Friends with Money
- Happy Feet
- Knocked Up (2007)
- Scoop
- Spider-Man 3 (2007)
- Stardust (2007)
- Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby
- The Namesake (2007)
- The Pursuit of Happyness 2
- The River Wild (1994)
- The Science of Sleep
- Third Monday in October (release date TBA)
- Venus
- Waitress (2007)
I have mixed feelings about:
- Across the Universe (2007)
- Dreamgirls 2
- The Golden Compass (2007)
- Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
- Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
- Sleeping Beauty (1959)
- She-Devil (1989) 2
- Stranger Than Fiction
- Transamerica (2005)
I can take 'em or leave 'em:
- Avenue Montaigne (2007)
- Blood Diamond
- Bridge to Terabithia (2007)
- I Am Legend (2007)
- The Break-Up
I was mostly annoyed by:
- The Brave One (2007)
- The Last Kiss
- World Trade Center
- X-Men: The Last Stand
Don't bother with these:
- A Guide to Recognizing Your Saints 2
Avoid these like the plague:
Find the negatives of these atrocities and burn them:
(my gradeless grading scale)film reviews (long form)
- Dreamgirls,
dir: Condon (2006)- Marie Antoinette,
dir: Coppola (2006)- The Namesake,
dir: Nair (2007)The Streepathon
- the Post of Announcement
- The Deer Hunter (1978)
- The French Lieutenant's Woman (1981)
- Silkwood (1983)
- Plenty (1985)
- Out of Africa (1985)
- A Cry in the Dark (1988)
- She-Devil (1989)
- Death Becomes Her (1992)
- The River Wild (1994)
next: The Bridges of Madison CountyThe Altmanathon
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- M*A*S*H (1970)
- McCabe & Mrs. Miller (1971)
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FICTIONNONFICTION
22 Comments:
I really really don't want Meryl Streep to be nominated. There are so many more deserving contenders (Winslet, Bening and Mirren having never won) and there could be some much superior performances in the running (Cruz, Paquin, Moore). I just found Streep's performance a big non-event.
Swap Judd for Cruz and that's my lineup at the moment.
I really don't think Bug is gonna get Judd a shot of Oscar.
I didn't mean to imply that this was the lineup per se (though it is Nathaniel's lineup and may very well be the one). It's more that these seem to be the only ones with a shot at winning. I actually believe more in Cruz than Judd for a nom, but if Cruz is nommed, there's no way in hell she's gonna win. Judd actually has a chance.
But it's really gonna be Mirren or Winslet, I think.
And sorry, DL, but tough beans. Meryl Streep will be nommed. I don't think she'll win, though, so I wouldn't worry about her stealing it from someone.
...though I actually kinda know how you feel. I'm definitely not as obsessed with Meryl as I was when I first saw the movie; she's faded a bit in the memory. I still love Miranda Priestly a lot, but I don't think she's necessarily statue-worthy. I'd like Meryl to be nommed, but not to win.
And finally, how cool are all these pics? All their expressions together are priceless.
I'm beginning to think we have our winner already... Helen Mirren. I think she'll do what no other "veteran" British actress has ever done: actually win Best Actress.
All roads point to Mirren at this point in time.
Sure, all roads point to Mirren NOW, but when's the last time the frontrunner from September actually ended up winning? Remember the fates of Sissy Spacek and Julianne Moore? Not to mention other old Brits like Judi Dench. There's plenty of time for the Mirren love to die down.
Though she does have that whole "won the Emmy for a queen, and then an oscar for a different queen" hook... but I'd like to think people won't vote for her on that basis alone.
And in the trailer, to me at least, she seems merely "very good"... not exactly the stuff of legend. Oh, biopics...
Excellent points, Adam. There is always an initial frontrunner that ultimately loses steam to a last-minute contender (usually a babe going deglam.)
I mean, at this point last year everyone was 100% convinced that Judi Dench would win her first Lead Actress Oscar for Mrs. Henderson Presents.
Really? I was never convinced of that. I always assumed it'd be Reese or Joan, or maybe Felicity with her deglamming.
But yeah, that illustrates how old Brits never seem to make it through the final stretch.
I still love these pictures. It's like they're all eyeing each other, gauging each other's prospects.
And Meryl seems the most confident of the bunch!
Yeah I know, I love that.
I totally have a feeling Mirren isn't winning this year. She'd be the only one I'd forgive for stealing Winslet's Oscar, but she won at Venice, and no one's won Best Actor or Best Actress at the Oscars when they won in Venice in almost 50 years.
Is it sad I'm happy about that?
No, it's not sad... assuming Winslet is deserving... which she ALWAYS is.
I want her to win, too. And I also doubt all the Mirren hype.
Really, other than last year, when it was assumed that Reese would be a force, the last early-in-the-year frontrunner to actually win the oscar was Julia Roberts in 2000. And both those cases were with romcom queens going dramatic... and they are a different breed, awardswise.
bump judd and replace with julie christie (away from her) - that'd be a classy line-up
Although I'd love to see Mirren win to break the young actress fixation, I also would prefer Winslet to take home the Oscar (that sounds so silly, considering I haven't seen either turn yet.) I guess my reasoning is that lately the Academy has given the Best Actress award to babes that prove themselves once in look-at-me turns, while Winslet has been so consistenly good and never resorting to such attention-whoring. I mean, she's a babe AND a phenomenal actor - what's the problem?
I'm also hoping that guilt over Eternal Sunshine will earn her more votes. Like Sean Penn, who was a perennial nominee for several years before his time came with Mystic River, this should similarly be her year.
And Amy, good point on Venice never correlating with Oscar. The festival prize always guarantees a nod, but never the win.
Well, not "guarentees" (see Javier Bardem), but you know what I mean. Bah, I'll stop posting now.
Well, one thing is becoming clear: whether the winner be Mirren, Winslet, Streep, or even Bening, this Best Actress contest is gonna be SWEEEEEET. None of those choices would upset me. It's kind of a win/win.
Unless Ashley Judd wins. That'd be kind of a let-down.
Or like Nathaniel suggested, Sienna Miller.
Ew, Sienna Miller! Please, god, no.
btw, Ali, don't worry about posting too much here. There is no such thing. Comments are like crack to me.
i think annette will be supporting and it'll come down to a mirren and winslet run.
Check out my post hear: Strange Culture: Mirren: An Oscar Nomination! An Oscar Win?
(I think you'll like the post a lot, i'd love your feedback).
--RC of strangeculture.blogspot.com
I’m praying to God that Sigourney gets nominated for Snow Cake.
I think Sigourney is supporting in Snow Cake.
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