Saturday, January 14, 2006

Golden Globe predictions

Best Picture (Drama): Brokeback Mountain (alt. GNaGL)
Best Actor (Drama): Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain (alt. PS Hoffman)
Best Actress (Drama): Felicity Huffman, TransAmerica (alt. Maria Bello)
Best Picture (M/C): Walk the Line (alt. P&P)
Best Actor (M/C): Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line (alt. Jeff Daniels)
Best Actress (M/C): Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line (alt. Judi Dench)
Best Supporting Actor: George Clooney, Syriana (alt. Matt Dillon)
Best Supporting Actress: Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain (alt. ScarJo)
Best Director: Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain (alt. George Clooney)
Best Screenplay: George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck (alt. Woody Allen)
Best Score: John Williams, Memoirs of a Geisha (Santaolla, BBM)
Best Song: "There's Nothing Like a Show on Broadway" by Mel Brooks, The Producers (alt. Dolly Parton, "Travelin' Thru", TransAmerica)

BBM will win a lot, though director and screenplay could easily go to Clooney and/or Allen. I think Clooney will end up winning supporting actor and screenplay but not director. I previously thought ScarJo had her category nailed down, but now no one seems to care about her anymore, so I'm going with Williams. I think Ledger will beat Hoffman here, if nowhere else. Reese and Joaquin are locks, though WtL might be upset in the picture category. I'm thinking Memoirs wins in score, since it's been winning there in other races, but BBM might carry that category, too. And I think Mel Brooks will win song simply because I don't think TransAmerica will win both it's categories... Parton is more likely to win at the oscars, where Huffman will lose and The Producers won't be a major player across the board.

That's my story and I'm sticking to it. We'll see how I do.

2 Comments:

Blogger Yaseen Ali said...

We essentially have the same lineup (every category seems so predictable this year... perhaps with the exception of Actor [Drama]/Supporting Actress), all except for Heath Ledger winning. I'm thinking PSH continues his lucky streak until Oscar night by which time he will have peaked, leaving the door open for Ledger.

I have no way to back up that theory, just instinct.

6:28 AM  
Blogger adam k. said...

I just think the HFPA clearly don't care much for Capote and they always go for movie stars, so I really see this going to Heath Ledger. Then I think Hoffman will win the SAG, and the oscar will be a total nailbiter.

1:39 PM  

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